Daily briefing · September 26, 2026

Today's Economic Brief

The latest official readings show consumer-price growth at 3.7%, unemployment at 4.1%, annualized real GDP growth at 1.5%. New releases and revisions can change that picture.

What changed

BLS · Sep 25, 2026

Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers

Consumer Price Index (CPI): +0.4% in Aug 2026 News Release Historical Data Unemployment Rate: 4.1% in Aug 2026 News Release Historical Data Payroll Employment: +162,000(p) in Aug 2026 News Release Historical Data Average Hourly...

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FRED Blog · Sep 24, 2026

Estimating the risk of recession in the US

The takeaway A new dataset in FRED provides the monthly probability the US economy is in recession. The latest data, for August 2026, show that probability was 0.08%. The data FRED has added probability estimates of the US econ...

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BEA · Sep 24, 2026

U.S. International Transactions and Investment Position, 2nd Quarter 2026

The U.S. current-account deficit resulting from international economic transactions widened by $33.4 billion, or 15.7 percent, to $246.0 billion in the second quarter of 2026, according to statistics released today by the U.S....

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Why it matters

Consumer-price growth is 3.7%, up 1.0 percentage points from Jul 2025.
Unemployment rate is 4.1%, down 0.2 percentage points from Jul 2025.
Federal funds rate is 3.88%, down 0.2 percentage points from Sep 2025.

These comparisons describe published observations; they do not assign causes.

What comes next

Tue, Sep 29 at 10:00 AM ETJob Openings and Labor Turnover SurveyBLS
Wed, Sep 30 at 8:30 AM ETGDP (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 2nd Quarter 2026\; State PCE, 2025BEA
Wed, Sep 30 at 8:30 AM ETPersonal Income and Outlays, August 2026BEA
Wed, Sep 30 at 10:00 AM ETMetropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment (Monthly)BLS
Fri, Oct 2 at 8:30 AM ETEmployment SituationBLS